A Progressive Political Playground
Really? Really.
It seems the grey blob (could they NOT find a photo of Ms. Sherrod Brown, the black Congressman from Ohio?) is leading by a good clip now - 9 points.
Strickland still leads all, but Flannery is putting out press that Strickland is in trouble due to his lead slipping. I still don’t think Flannery gets the Dem nod, the numbers just seem to indicate that Ohio is going to break for a Democrat Governor.
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ya, just polls. i’m no poll expert. looks like it might get tight due to the disgust with Rs in Ohio. whether or not Brown will fully energize the base is yet to be seen. what will be the hackett factor?
Don’t “unnamed Democrats” generally poll better than named ones? Maybe that works for faceless Democrats as well.
Am I missing something?? It looks like Strickland has taken the lead from Blackwell according to the Zogby chart. How, then, is Strickland slipping?
Also, the Rasmussen report also shows Strickand’s lead against both Blackwell and Petro has been expanding, not contracting.
It’s the first time I’ve heard of a Democrat for being in political trouble for expanding his lead in an election.
ME, I’m referring to the ditance between Strickland and Flannery. The polling is for sure bad news for Blackwell and company. Both guys are beating him…
Oh, I C …. hey, could you e-mail me the Flannery PR? I haven’t gotten it yet. Modernesquire-at-yahoo-dot-com.
Yeah, I guess Flannery could, arguably, use the WSJ poll to say that there is little electibility advantage in going with Strickland over Flannery. However, while Flannery is technically ahead, he’s within the margin of error.
In a way, it’s a good thing to have Flannery in a poll because to shows how much of a base the Democratic nominee has without even using much in campaign resources. It also shows that the whole Blackwell-Petro bloodbath is a fight to see who will get beat by Strickland.
If polls keep showing Strickland polling at 50% or higher like the recent Rasmussen poll, I think you’re going to start to see coverage questioning how competitive this race really is. If Strickland is polling over 50% come July, most national watchers will mark this race off the list of races to watch.
sent. good analysis of the polling. i agree it shows a strong Dem base. there is still work to do, but the work does not appear that challenging at this point. the question will be how the polls will look once the conservative hate machine gets rolling…
Thanks, Eric. I hate to pick on a guy when he’s down, but is the Cleveland Sun News a major newspaper? I ask because I’m in SW Ohio and I’ve never heard of it. Is that endorsement a big deal?
In the end, I think the Flannery campaign missed a golden opportunity. I don’t think anyone is going to buy that Strickland’s support is significantly dropping, especially in light of the contrary Rasmussen poll. Further, I think they should have used the opportunity to at least claim that Flannery is just as electable as Strickland would be. Since that had been Strickland’s strongest base of support for the primary, I think that argument would do more to bolster Flannery. Really surprised they aren’t using the poll results to get campaign donations, either using the same argument I outlined above.
Heck, if Mike Coleman’s campaign had enough sense to do that (which seems like ages ago)….
I think some of those numbers seem flaky and I would like to see more. Flannery’s name recognition has to be very very low; so if anything this poll may simply indicate a certain level of anomosity toward Blackwell (please please!) I don’t think it means Flannery could mount a viable general election campaign. The Sun news must be one of the chain of suburban Sun papers but not sure from which ‘burb. We get the Sun Press over here in the eastern inner ring suburbs.
i don’t know jack about Sun News…not in cleveland, but I can’t imagine this is a very big deal.
AmberCat:
Actually, that’s why I’m glad they polled Flannery, cause I think he’s numbers have to reflect the base number of people who don’t support Blackwell. If you accept that premise, then it also shows that Strickland is already beginning to add to that base. If you look to the Rasmussen report, you see that Strickland is already over the critical 50% watermark.
All in all, good news for the Strickland campaign.
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Zogby poll is useless. Brown has always been ahead of DeWine.
The new Rasmussen poll has DeWine 45% (46%)
Brown 42% (37%).