Pollsters Not Capturing Key Obama Demo: Cell Phone Only Voters
Interesting take. I’d often wondered about this. I know if I were 20 years younger and didn’t have kids I wouldn’t have a “home” phone. When my girls are old enough we may even become a family of cell phone only users and ditch the home phone all together. This seems like a natural shift, this cell phone only trend. At some point we’ll all just contact people individually instead of call their homes.
Salon points out how this dynamic may be causing Obama’s support to be under-reported by as much as 2-3%:
the sample I’ve described is either not being included at all in many national polls or is being undercounted. Why? Because I’m talking about the growing number of American cellphone users who have no other type of phone or who choose to go wireless for the vast majority of their interactive needs. And this election cycle — for the first, and perhaps only, time — this group has the chance to render presidential polls “wrong from the start”: potentially disguising at least 2 to 3 percentage points of Obama support and maybe more.
This is not only an historic election because of Obama. It is historic because of the shifting nature of electoral politics and the demographic of the average American Voter. Obama clearly gets this mobile move in demographic. McCain? Not so much.
Related Stories
- Kasich’s office cell phone bill: $23,000+ per year
- Kasich shouldn’t be lecturing anyone on how to answer the phone
- Quinnipiac shows Obama in Ohio in 2012 is starting where Strickland did in 2010—why that’s not a bad thing for Obama
- PPP poll in WI: Walker has turned GOP union voters into Democratic union voters
- [UPDATED:] Out-of-State Tea Party activists hijacked labor’s phone calling system to pose as Ohio constituents to lobby in FAVOR of SB 5
Get Email Updates
PB Twitter Feed
- RT @phrontpage: Wow, Speaker Batchelder just blasted Senate plans to repeal #HB194.
- RT @phrontpage: Jack Hanna learning that actual jungle may be less dangerous than the Statehouse jungle. Rips GOP exotic animal plan. ht ...
- "Long-term decline in teen pregnancy, birth and abortion rates driven primarily by improved use of contraception" http://t.co/AcxcFOqH
- @mbruning81 Then maybe he should ask why @JohnKasich didn't make any reference to it in his #SOTS. It surely wasn't to save time.
- [Breaking] State Senate GOP is repealing #HB194 with plans to replace it to prevent referendum this November. Democrats have not signed off.
- Is the @OhioGOP/@cnn Super Tuesday debate between the GOP Prez candidates or @JohnKasich and Kevin DeWine? #PleaseClarify
- RT @CHRISMAL0NEY: RT @CNNPolitics Georgia, Ohio Republicans partner with CNN for Super Tuesday debate - http://t.co/K59KuFWG #battlegrou ...
- RT @SgBz: Obama's "Controversial" Birth Control Rule Has Been Law for a Decade http://t.co/IE706R2R #p2 #tcot #christian
- Rasmussen's Santorium result showing him tied with Obama is likely because voters don't know him and Obama is more vulnerable to gen. GOPer.
- HT @TPM Rasmussen shows Obama with + approval rating (50%) with OH likely voters. Ahead of Romney. http://t.co/wUiHnfIt
Advertisement
Advertisement






Pingback: Cellphone only people strongly support Obama « Majorman’s Musings