From the category archives:

Senate 2006

Senate to the Dems

by Brian on November 8, 2006 · Comments

With Tester officially winning MT, the entire Senate hangs on the result of ‘Macaca’ Allen v. Webb in VA.

And while Webb is in front by the slimmest of margins, he is in front. I’m confident that he’ll end up victorious, which delivers a 1 seat (51-49) edge to the Democrats in the Senate.

Maybe now we can set about the process of getting the ship pointed in the right direction.

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Morning aftermath

by Brian on November 8, 2006 · Comments

I’m still sorting thru the mess this morning, but here is what we know:

It looks like OH18 will be the [i]only[/i] House seat to flip in Ohio, despite the nearly 30 seat landslide nationwide. Chabot won reelection in OH01, Mean Jean looks pretty likely to hold on in OH02, and it looks like Pryce did just enough to hold on to OH15.

The majority in the Senate rests on two races – MT (where Tester is leading the GOP incumbent by a slim margin), and VA (where Webb is leading Allen by an even slimmer margin). If both of those swing for Democrats, they will have a majority in both chambers.

It looks like there will be a 28-22 majority for Dems when the gubernatorial races are finally counted, as six seats have flipped.

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OH-Sen exit polling

by Brian on November 7, 2006 · Comments

Remarkable. Brown is crushing DeWine in every demographic save rich white Christians who think Bush is the best thing since sliced bread.

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Michael J. Fox and Sherrod Brown are hosting a rally at Drinko Hall on the Ohio State Campus (law building) at 10:30AM today.

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From Openers.

With considerable buildup, courtesy of Rush Limbaugh, actor Michael J. Fox will appear in Columbus on Monday with Sherrod Brown. Fox, who has Parkinson’s disease, supports using federal dollars to expand stem cell research. So does Brown, the Ohio Democrat running for U.S. Senate.

Incumbent Republican Sen. Mike DeWine stands with President Bush in opposing the expansion of embryonic stem cell research. Their opposition goes to their belief that the destruction of human embryos, even in research, is akin to the destruction of life. Parallels with the abortion wars are abundant.

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I don’t think there is a single thing that comes out of the Ohio GOP office that is in the least bit true.

It is not surprising that Sherrod Brown is enlisting the help of a Hollywood liberal, who like him, is so far out of the mainstream of Ohio values. What is troubling is that Brown would solicit support from someone [Franken] who compared conservatives to Nazis “who should drink poison and die.”

Problem is, he never said it. Oh, and the photo they attached to the release is photoshopped – heavily.

What was the title of that old Franken book? I just can’t recall…

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I can’t say I’m surprised, but polling shows Arab-Americans strongly support Democratic candidates.

“There’s clearly a trend in the Democratic direction and that shows up not only in head to head races, but also in the issues,” said James Zogby. John Zogby pointed out that this constitutes a significant shift, adding, “From 1996 to 2006, there’s been a party realignment by 12 points among Arab American voters.”

And the numbers? Here’s just a small sample:

If the election for Governor/Senate were held today,
whom would you vote for?


               
  FL GOV Senate MI
GOV
Senate OH

GOV

Senate PA
GOV
Democrat 45 52 61 54 60 53 67
Republican 39 24 29 32 21 27 22

Of course, you can just feel the racist wingnut “terrorists want Democrats to win” blowback coming. In reality, this provides some indirect support for the thesis that American actions are not winning hearts and minds in the worldwide Arab community.

HT: BSB.

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Unfutz has done some excellent work, pulling together in one place a summary of the predictions for the upcoming election. General consensus: Democrats win the House, the Senate hovering right around a split.

Election Projections

I’ve provided here the most recent predictions as of the time I wrote this post, but you can visit Unfutz to get the most up-to-date version regularly (it’s updated frequently).

HT: Swing State Project.

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Speechless…

by Brian on October 21, 2006 · Comments

This RNC ad attacking Harold Ford in Tennessee has left me bereft of words. I can literally say that the first time I saw it I had a look of complete shock on my face.

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Well, Sherrod Brown’s campaign didn’t waste any time getting a response put together. It’s a good response as well.

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Apparently, I missed some good stuff while I was off at the Franklin Co. BoE voting this afternoon.

Expect fireworks this afternoon as Sherrod Brown’s campaign for U.S. Senate blasts the Republican National Committee and Sen. Mike DeWine’s reelection committee and demands that they immediately take down commercials with demonstrably false claims.

This goes to the new claim that Brown failed to pay $1,700 in unemployment taxes for 13 years. Brown thought something was wrong about that claim, checked it out through staff and learned today that he had in fact paid the debt in 1994. The state of Ohio — where DeWine was lieutenant governor at the time — screwed up matters and never released the lien until last year, according to the Brown campaign and records it unearthed.

If this doesn’t prove that the GOP will say anything to get elected, I don’t know what does.

HT: BSB.

Ohio2006 posts the proof that DeWine is lying.

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National GOP is giving up on DeWine’s seat, essentially giving the seat to Sherrod Brown.

Senior Republican leaders have concluded that Senator Mike DeWine of Ohio, a pivotal state in this year’s fierce midterm election battles, is likely to be heading for defeat and are moving to reduce financial support for his race and divert party money to other embattled Republican senators, party officials said.

The decision about Mr. DeWine’s seat came after recent internal polls showed Mr. DeWine’s Democratic challenger, Representative Brown, jumping to a large lead. Mr. Brown’s surge came despite a barrage of Republican advertisements intended to portray him as weak on national security — the very line of attack that had given party officials confidence earlier this year that Mr. DeWine would be re-elected.

Normally, a party would be averse to scaling back its help for senator in a state with as many as five competitive Congressional races also on the ballot. But in this case, Ohio Republicans said, Mr. DeWine and Republican Congressional candidates face the added problem of being dragged down this November by the party’s candidate for governor, J. Kenneth Blackwell, who polls show is facing a double-digit loss to the Democrat, Representative Ted Strickland.

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This is my favorite ad this cycle, hands down. Attacks DeWine, and does so simply and with merit, on his record. Go Brown!

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Sherrod Brown and Adam Brody

Not sure what Adam Brody is doing campaigning with Brown, but if helps get out the youth vote, I’m all for it. Luke Perry, on the other hand, is an Ohio native.

Luke Perry and Brown supporters

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Brown @ UD

by Brian on October 6, 2006 · Comments

The Ohio 2nd Blog has an excellent recap of Sherrod Brown’s appearance at the University of Dayton, and the attempt by DeWine supporters to ambush him. They failed miserably.

The DeWine supporters came out with guns blazing. Several waited at each mic with questions. The first shot came from the head of the UD Republicans. I don’t remember his name, but Sherrod knew all about him. (One thing that’s a little freaky about Sherrod is how good he is with names and information about people. Several times during the event he started talking about other people there and what they were doing.)

Q: “Why would anyone support Democrats when they are for abortions?”

Sherrod’s counter was very simple: For abortions? I didn’t know that. How are Democrats for abortions? After some stammering from the questioner Sherrod hit that one out of the park. How Republicans like Mike DeWine only use abortion as a way to divide people, and if they were really concerned about reducing the number of abortions they would stop politicizing the issue and work with Democrats on health care and education and birth control so that we could actually reduce the number of abortions.

Good stuff from Sherrod.

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